How is Barack Obama going to get Independent and Republican votes that Hillary Clinton can’t…in the general election?
Sure, there are people out there that hate Hillary Clinton with a passion, thanks to the 16 years of lies and smears she’s had to endure from the media. But if they’ve got McCain to vote for – who is, as we know, the most McMavericky, most Independent and Straight-Shooterish and Moderate Candidate Evah, according to the MCM – won’t Independent and Republic voters go for him instead of Obama?
Even Obama supporters should be able to admit that the Senator from Illinois has gotten nothing but a honeymoon from the traditional media. Unfortunately, there will be a quick divorce if/when he becomes the Democratic nominee. Are people seriously, truly thinking that after months of “Barack Hussein Osama” + the “Rezko scandal,” not to mention the innate racism of most Americans, McCain won’t peel off a lot of those votes?
Of course he will. That’s why the Republicans nominated him, and that’s why he’s running almost even with both Obama and Clinton in the polls right now. If Obama were so incredibly strong with Independent and Republican voters, wouldn’t he be crushing McCain easily in national polling?
It was one thing to be low in the polls when name recognition made Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani front-runners. Not many people had heard of Barack Obama. But that was before all the debates and the media love and Party endorsements. So how do those poll results support his argument, which is a central tenet of his “kumbaya” campaign?
It is quite obvious that they do not. The person who would have decimated McCain was John Edwards, as the polls reflected at the time. The reason? People who won’t vote for a woman named Clinton or a man named Obama would vote for him. You know – white males, who are disproportionately…Republics and Independents.
Clearly, if we wanted to bring Republics and Independents to our side, we should have nominated the safe, handsome, white, Southern male. But we didn’t; and it’s a mistake, and one not supported by any evidence, to think that Obama will automatically get his supporters. I was one, and I’m voting for Hillary.
So what would the winning strategy be?
Well, for one, it would be nice if Obama and his supporters stopped believing in fairy tales, and opened their eyes to the reality that he and Hillary are deadlocked in delegates (and that’s only because Michigan and Florida were shut out). This hardly translates into a giant wave of momentum for Obama. If Hillary loses Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania, then she should drop out and let Obama take the frontrunner position, in my opinion. But so far, the polls are showing that as usual, Hillary is stronger in the larger states.
I just can’t help thinking that the winning strategy for Democrats is still a combined ticket for Clinton and Obama. They have both proven their strength in various demographics, and they could each bring a great deal to the other’s campaign. Moreover, the excitement and participation of Democratic voters this year is palpable, and the turnout is absolutely breathtaking in the primaries. I wouldn’t want the Party to lose either of these candidates and the sense of empowerment they bring to their supporters.
I don’t think the theoretical gain of a few Republics and Independents should outweigh the almost certain reality of 16 years of Democratic Dominance in the White House. But then…
maybe it’s just me.